Alternative Point Spread Basketball

  1. Alternative Point Spread Basketball Brackets
  2. Alternative Point Spread Basketball Scores
  3. Ncaa Basketball Point Spreads Espn
  4. Alternative Point Spread Basketball Game

Point spread betting is one of the most popular and simplest forms of
basketball bets that you can place. While this is a seemingly basic bet, it is
one of the most utilized bets even by professionals. Remember, the complexity of
a bet does not equal better odds or bigger payouts.

Some professional or
seasoned bettors only use the point spread bets and are wildly successful. Their
success comes from making correct picks, not from overcomplicating the
situation. We’re going to walk you through the basics, and the mechanics of a
basketball point spread bet, discuss the popularity and benefits, and offer some
tips and strategies to help get you moving in the right direction towards
profitability with these bet types.

How They Work

It’s inevitable in sports and basketball that in each game one team is going
to be better than the other. Betting would be a little pointless if you were
able to make the exact same wager on each team. Everyone would just always bet
the better team, and the sportsbook would quickly be out of money and have to
close up shop. What point spread bets attempt to do is even the playing field
and offer bets with the same risk level on both sides of the coin. They
effectively aim to create a 50/50 even playing field.

An alternative point spread is one that is different from the main point spread and has a different point total as well as different money odds on it. Let’s say the Pelicans are playing the Warriors. The spread is Warriors -5. You have to pay -110 to bet either side of this. Combine all of your research to calculate the point spread. There is no exact science when determining this figure. However, use the research to get the figure. For instance, in basketball if the favorite averages 100 points, with a victory margin of five points, and is playing at home, then make it a five-point favorite. NCAA basketball odds, point spreads, over/under, and money lines for all college basketball games. Sign up for BettingData.com for advanced NCAA basketball odds & lines! The money lines are adjusted based on who is more likely to win the game (based on the point spread). Let’s use an example. A 4-point favorite in NCAA basketball might be listed at -204 via the money line. This means that you would need to wager $204 to profit $100 on the favorite. These alternative lines give point spread bettors a chance to wager on other sports using a more familiar method of betting. Since points (runs and goals) aren’t as easy to come by in baseball and hockey, the odds with the lines may have a wider spread than a football or basketball game.

The way the sportsbook does this is by putting out a betting line that is
based on how many points they think the better team is going to win by. This is
a lot like how our older siblings would “spot us” a few points when we played
each other in basketball as kids. For example, let’s say that Florida Gators are
playing the Arkansas Razorbacks. Let’s also say that Florida is the better team
and the sportsbook thinks they are going to win the game by seven points. They
can’t just let everyone bet evenly, or everyone would bet Florida and clean them
out. Enter the point spread. The sportsbook would set the point spread on this
game at -7 for Florida to win. The negative sign before the number signifies
that this team is the favorite to win. This means that if you want to bet on
Florida, they have to win by more than 7 points for you to win your bet.

Arkansas Razorback
+7

Here are the possible outcomes if you bet on Florida at -7:

  • If Florida wins by fewer than 7 points, you lose your bet
  • If Florida wins by 8 or more points, you win your bet
  • If Florida wins by 7 points, your bet is a push (tie)
  • If Florida loses, you lose your bet

A lot of times you will see the point spread set at a half point (-6.5 or
-7.5 in this example) to get rid of any pushes.

As you may already be assuming, adjustments are made if you want to bet on
the Razorbacks. The point spread for the Razorbacks would be set at +7. It will
always be the exact opposite of the other team. As the negative sign represents
the favorite, the plus sign here represents the underdog. If you were to bet on
the Razorbacks, they can actually still lose, and you win your bet.

Here are the possible outcomes if you bet on Arkansas at +7:

  • If Arkansas loses by 6 or fewer points, you win your bet
  • If Arkansas loses by 8 or more points, you win your bet
  • If Arkansas loses by 7 points, your bet is a push (tie)
  • If Arkansas wins, you win your bet

How They’re Paid Out

Almost all point spread wagers are paid out at moneyline odds of -110. This
is almost even money minus the percentage that is taken for the sportsbook’s cut
known as the vig. Sometimes you will see a bit of variation in the payout odds,
but for the most part, you should expect to see -110. If you don’t see the
payout numbers posted but just the point spread, you can most likely assume that
you are to interpret that as being paid out at -110. If you’re ever curious,
though, just ask for clarification or look at your betting slip.

While we’re going to cover this extensively in the moneyline section of the
Basketball Betting Guide, we’ll touch briefly on what the -110 means here. -110
refers to the moneyline payout for a particular bet. If you were to bet $100 on
a basketball point spread paying -110 and win, you would be paid out a profit of
$90.90. The easy way to figure out the amount you will get paid with minus
moneyline odds is to divide your bet size by the absolute value of the betting
odds and multiply that number by 100.

($100/ -110 )*100 = ($100/110)*100 = .9090 * 100 = $90.90 in profit

If the odds are a positive moneyline, you calculate your potential profit by
dividing your bet amount by 100 and multiplying that by the odds. Let’s say you
bet $250 at odds of +160.

Benefits of Basketball Point Spreads

There are a lot of reasons that point spread bets are so popular in
basketball. We don’t anticipate any other style of bet passing point spreads
anytime soon. Here are a few of the reasons we think basketball point spread
wagers are so popular.

Bet on Your Favorite Team No Matter What

For those of us who aren’t bandwagon fans, our teams are going to struggle to
win a lot of games. Even some of the better teams will have games when they play
teams they’re supposed to lose to.

Without point spread betting, placing a wager
on our team to win these games would be financial suicide. Point spreads create
an even playing field for sports bettors. Even if your team is supposed to lose
by 20 points, you can still bet on them if you think they’re going to have a
better day than predicted. If you’ve ever wondered why someone was still
cheering and going nuts at the end of a blowout, you can bet they were sweating
a point spread bet.

Point Spread Bets are Simple

As you may have already noticed, these bets are simple and straightforward.
Everything we’ve already taught you about point spread bets are all there is to
them. There is no hidden complex side to them. All you have to do is pick which
team you think is going to do better than the proposed line and that’s it.

The Vig

The only real downside to betting basketball point spreads is that the
sportsbook charges a vig. While this is a downside, it is to be expected and is
no different from placing any other sports bet. Obviously, the sportsbook has to
make money somehow because they have to pay employees, pay for their servers or
equipment, and pay for their customer service to keep you happy. This really
isn’t a negative about point spread bets, but just something that you should be
aware of.

Remember earlier when we said that most point spread bets in basketball pay
out at -110? Well, this is where the vig is located. Sportsbooks will work to
get equal amounts of money on both sides of a game and make their money off of
the vig. If they are successful in doing so, it does not matter to them who wins
the game. For example, let’s look at our earlier example. Here are what the odds
would look like at the sportsbook:

  • Florida -7 -110
  • Arkansas +7 -110

Let’s say the sportsbook get’s $1000 in bets total on the Gators and $1000 in
bets total on Arkansas.

If Florida wins, this would be the accounting:

+$1000 Bets on Florida

1000 Bets on Arkansas

$1000 Original Bets Returned to Florida Winners

Alternative Point Spread BasketballAlternative point spread basketball tournament

$909 Profit Paid out to Florida Winners

Total Profit = $91

If Arkansas wins, this would be the accounting.

$1000 Bets on Florida

+$1000 Bets on Arkansas

$1000 Original Bets Returned to Arkansas Winners

$909 Profit Paid out to Arkansas Winners

Alternative Point Spread Basketball

Total Profit = $91

As you can see, the sportsbook couldn’t care less who wins this game. The way
that the sportsbook works to get the same amount of bets on each side is by
manipulating the point spread to entice bets to the side they want. Our next
section is dedicated to explaining this.

Alternative Point Spread Basketball Brackets

How and Why a Basketball Point Spread Can Change

As we mentioned in the close of the last section, sportsbooks try their best
to get the same amount of total money bet on both sides of a game. If they can
accomplish this, then they are guaranteed to make a profit no matter who wins or
loses the game. The way a sportsbook goes about doing this is by manipulating
the point spread to make the less bet side more enticing.

Let’s use our same example again to make this clearer. These are the current
odds on the game as well as the amount of money that has been bet on both sides.
The amount of money bet information would not be made available to you in a
normal situation.

  • Florida -7 -110 $10,000 in total bets
  • Arkansas +7 -110 $3,000 in total bets

As you can see, the public seems to think that Florida is going to win this
game by more than seven points. If the game started now, the sportsbook would
stand to lose a lot of money if Florida did in fact win by more than seven
points. They would stand to make a lot of money if Florida lost or won by less
than seven points. Regardless of how the sportsbook thinks the game will go,
they are not in the business of gambling. They want to guarantee profit as often
as they can.

What the sportsbook will do when they start to see too much money on one side
is to adjust the point spread. This DOES NOT affect anyone that has made a bet
already. If you bet Florida -7, then that is the line you have. No one can ever
take that away from you. To try and entice more bets on Arkansas, the line might
move to this.

  • Florida -8 -110
  • Arkansas +8 -110

This means that Arkansas can now lose by seven points instead six and you’d
win with a bet on them. If this doesn’t bring in more bets, they might move the
line to the following.

  • Florida -9 -110
  • Arkansas +9 -110

Now Arkansas can lose by up to eight points, and you can still win a bet on
Arkansas. As the Arkansas line gets more appealing, more people will start to
bet that side. The sportsbook will continue to manipulate the line this way up
until game time to try and get the bets as even as possible. While they won’t be
perfect about it, they can usually get it close enough in most situations. It’s
also important to note that the line will sometimes shift by half points and
it’s also capable of shifting back in the other direction if too much money
comes in on the other side.

While we aren’t exactly sure at which dollar amounts or what formulas
sportsbooks use to determine when they shift the lines, we do know why they do
it. It is their attempt to minimize their risk as much as possible and
guarantees sportsbook profit. Lines will also move if something major happens
(like Lebron breaking his leg or something) so keep an eye out for this.
Ultimately, the shift in the line is done for the exact same reason to keep the
same amount of money on both sides of the game. As you’ll see in the strategy
and tips section, shifting lines do present some interesting opportunities for
sports bettors.

Tips and Strategy Advice

Winning at sports betting is challenging. If it were easy, everyone would
quit their jobs and do it, and sportsbooks would all be out of business. What
makes it so challenging is that the lines are usually set pretty spot on which
means it’s a bit more challenging to pick the correct side of the bet. That
being said, it’s definitely not impossible to make money betting basketball
point spreads. You’ll have to develop a winning strategy and continually tweak
it until it’s perfect. Here are a few tips and strategies that will help point
you in the right direction.

Shop Lines

Shopping betting lines is one of the most important things you can do when
betting point spreads in basketball. While the majority of sportsbooks will have
the same line, it’s fairly common that you can find lines that are a half or
full point different. This can have a huge impact on your bottom line. If you
don’t think a half point or one full point makes that big of a difference, just
ask anyone who has bet sports for a while. They will inform you that getting an
extra half point is like winning the sports betting lottery.

Alternative Point Spread Basketball Scores

This used to be impossible or extremely time-consuming when only land based
sportsbooks and casinos existed. You would have to drive hundreds of miles if
you wanted to get to another casino and then hope they still had the different
line. This would cost you travel money as well as time. Online sportsbooks make
this extremely easy now. You can check several sportsbooks lines on a game
within a matter of seconds or minutes. It doesn’t cost you any additional money,
just a few minutes of your time and can have a huge impact on the outcome of
your bets.

Don’t Bet Every Game

Ncaa Basketball Point Spreads Espn

A common mistake that new bettors will do is to bet every single game.
Unfortunately, this is not a winning strategy no matter how sharp you are. Stick
to betting the games where you actually see value. Here’s what we mean by value.
Let’s say in our earlier example that you agree with the sportsbook that the
Florida Gators should win the game by seven. You should not bet this game then
no matter what if the line is -7. If you’re right, the best you can do is tie on
your bet. When you pick a side, you’re basically going to be guessing and
flipping a coin. Theoretically, you’ll win as many times as you lose, but you’ll
be paying the house percentage every single bet and slowly bleeding your money
and profits away.

Only bet games where you have a clear prediction on a team covering the
spread. Look for lines that you think are incorrect and put your money there.
The idea here is to be making intelligent picks that you actually believe will
win. If you’re betting every game, you’re just gambling and no longer letting
your skill and knowledge base shine through.

Predict Line Movements

Let’s use our example from earlier, but this time let’s say you think that
Florida will cover the -7 spread. Should you place this bet? Maybe. Yes, this is
good value bet and one that you should bet, but maybe not right away. Let’s say
you think the public is improperly going to dump a lot of money onto Arkansas.
If this happens and you wait to place your bet, the line might move in your
favor. By waiting, you may be able to get Florida at -6.5 to win. This means
that if you bet right away, you would only tie if they won by seven points. By
waiting, you will win your bet now if Florida wins the game by seven.

The betting public as a whole is not very smart. There is a reason it is such
a lucrative business to be in for the sportsbooks. The public loves to bet
popular teams, great story lines, and trends that don’t have a lot of merits. If
you think that the public is going to bet a lot and shift the line more in your
favor, just wait. The worst that might happen is the line
doesn’t move, and you then take the bet before the game at the original
line that you still thought had value. Yes, there is a possibility of the point
spread moving the other direction. If this happens, you shouldn’t make a bet on
this game and wait for the next one.

This also comes into play on games that you think the line is correct. For
example, let’s say you think the line of Florida -7 is correct, so you elect not
to bet it because there is no value. This doesn’t mean you should never look at
this game again. If the line happens to shift in either direction, you can make
a bet that has value. If the line moves to Florida -6, you place a bet on
Florida because you originally thought they would win by seven. If the line
moves to Florida -8, then you place a bet on Arkansas at +8 because you
originally thought Florida would win by seven and Arkansas would lose by seven.
The next strategy tip is a good idea to help you be ready for these situations.

Alternative Point Spread Basketball Game

Have an Idea Before You Look

Point spread lines can be tricky in the fact that they can help shape our
views of a game just by looking at them. You may have no opinion of a game until
you look at a point spread and then your brain immediately starts looking for
evidence to back up the line. This can cause you to build your view of a game
off of what the sportsbook thinks and not what you think. The best advice here
is to have an idea of what you think the line is before you look at the
sportsbook’s lines. This will protect you from being influenced by what they
came up with and help you to spot bad lines.

Don’t Just Look at the NBA

A good rule of thumb with sports betting is that the sportsbook is going to
put more time, effort, and resources into setting their lines on the sports and
leagues that have the most action. This is a completely smart move on their part
as it’s where they stand to lose the most money if they make a mistake. What
this means is that the smaller sports and leagues are much more likely to have
bad lines or lines that don’t respond as quickly to trends as they should.
Regarding basketball, this means you may have more luck looking into college
basketball or even the smaller European leagues. If you do choose to go this
route, make sure that you do all of your homework and are not just jumping into
a new league blind. College basketball and Euro league betting are NOT the same
as NBA betting even though they are the same sport. This does not mean you can’t
bet the NBA and that you won’t find great lines; it just means that the bad
lines are more likely to be corrected quicker as the sharp bettors will jump all
over them, and the sportsbook will adjust.

We’re about to make the transition from the time when baseball is the primary sport people are paying attention to to when football takes over. That means that sports bettors will be making the transition from primarily betting using the moneyline to primarily using the point spread. Most people seem to prefer the point spread – it’s certainly more calmly discussed and understood – but I always have and likely always will prefer the moneyline. It’s an interesting exercise to look at the benefits and weaknesses of both kinds of bets:

Benefits of Point Spreads

Cost is almost always constant – For the most part you know that each point spread bet you make is going to cost you -110. Sometimes it might cost -120 to be on a popular side, and you may find -105 or even +100 if you are lucky, but the prices you will pay operate within a small range regardless of whether you are going to be betting primarily on favorites, underdogs, or a mix of the two. That makes budgeting easier, makes it easier to keep track of meaningful records, and makes it less risky to play on heavy favorites than it is on the moneyline.

Harder to make a bad bet – The betting public generally likes the favorites. As a result, the odds on favorites are often skewed in favor of the books. If you bet on a point spread favorite that doesn’t have any value the worst you are out is whatever you have bet at -110 or -120. If you are on a heavy favorite on the moneyline, though, you might be facing a price of -250 or -300. That’s far more damaging to the bankroll if things go poorly, and far less beneficial f things go well.

Easier for most people to understand – The moneyline is actually quite simple, but for most people who are new to betting the point spread is easier to embrace and become comfortable with. That’s most likely because the point spread is discussed so often in popular culture, and because the media is increasingly discussing the bet.

Key numbers are useful – The concept of key numbers – the spreads that are most commonly hit in the results of football games like 3 and 7 – are powerful and useful in handicapping. Key numbers are not applicable to the moneyline.

Middling – Even casual bettors can occasionally happen upon middling situations – situations where the odds are set up so that you can bet on both teams at different sports book in the same game and ensure a great result either way – either a very small loss or a very large win. Though theoretically possible with the moneyline this tool is far less common.

Can easily have a strong winning percentage and still lose money with moneyline – As a general rule if you win 55 percent of your games betting on the point spread you are going to make some money. If you are betting moneyline favorites, though, you could easily hit 65 percent of your picks and still lose money.

Alternative

Benefits of Moneyline

Just have to pick a winner – For the teams that are involved in a game the only goal they care about is winning the game. They don’t care how much they win it by, or how many points the two teams combine to score. It’s all about the scoreboard. Moneyline betting is only about who wins as well. It can be pretty or it can be ugly, but a win is a win. By betting on the moneyline, then, you are associating yourself with the same goal that the team you are betting on has, and you don’t have to be an amateur psychologist to think about motivation nearly as much. When you bet a favorite on the point spread you have to think not just about who is going to win, but when your team is likely to take the lead, how hard they will try once they get that lead, what personnel moves getting the lead may cause, and so on. Moneyline betting involves fewer variables, and simplicity is a good thing. The flipside, of course, is that moneyline underdogs have to win the game, while point spread underdogs have a cushion. I’ll give up that cushion for the payoff as we’ll discuss next.

The beauty of underdogs – There is nothing better than picking underdogs winners on the moneyline. What makes it so nice? Simply, you get back more money than you bet. On small underdogs you might get $110 or $120 for every $100 you bet, and for serious underdogs you can sometimes get two, three or four times as much as you bet. That’s a good thing for several reasons. First, because you get back more than you bet you can make a profit even if you lose more bets than you win. That’s always a good thing. For example, betting moneyline underdogs is great when you are betting two games on a day and you split them. On the point spread going 1-1 on the day would mean a small loss, but on the moneyline it would mean a small profit. Profits are better than losses in my eyes. Besides that, the biggest advantage of moneyline underdogs is psychological. I like that when you bet them and win you get nice payoffs, and you can get especially nice payoffs when you win all of your bets on a day. Successful sports betting is all about the right mindset, and I find it easier to maintain a successful state of mind this way.

Fairer parlays – The odds books offer for point spread parlays should be criminal. The odds they set are at a fixed level, and that level is far lower than the actual mathematical risk of making the bets. Over the long term, then, the expectation is that even a good bettor would lose on parlays. They are a profit factory for books just like roulette or blackjack is for casinos. Using moneylines parlays are calculated simply by multiplying the risk of the bets you are parlaying together. It’s a bigger debate whether parlays are good bets, but there is no denying that parlays using moneylines are a much fairer bet that are conceptually and mathematically easier to show a profit with over the long term.

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